EUR/CHF: Bias would be for stronger Franc, but waiting for clearer SNB monetary policy stance – Credit Suisse

Economists at Credit Suisse are now neutral on EUR/CHF, following the pair’s breach of 1.0050 last week.

SNB policymakers are due to speak

“In our last update on EUR/CHF, we aimed for 0.9500 by the end-Q1. The pair briefly traded through the 1.0050 level, where we said our view would be invalidated. This leaves us neutral on EUR/CHF for now. Still, our bias would be for a stronger Franc versus the Euro, but we suggest waiting for more clarity regarding the SNB’s future monetary policy stance.”

“SNB President Thomas Jordan and Governing Board member Martin Schlegel are due to speak on January 20 and 19, respectively. If they insist on a continued restrictive monetary policy stance, it should stop the recent trend of wider interest rate differentials and could even reverse it, with EUR/CHF lower as a result. Should the outcome be neutral, we expect EUR/CHF to trade in a 1.0200-0.9800 trading range.”