AUD/USD Price Analysis: Bears step in after RBA decision

  • The AUD/USD declined to a low near 0.6400, seeing 1.05% losses
  • Despite the  hiking by 25 bps the AUD failed to gain momentum
  • Indicators on the daily chart are starting to favour the bears.


The AUD/USD suffered significant losses in Tuesday's session, reaching a daily low near 0.6400 with a decline of 1.05% and then stabilising around 0.6420. The Reserve Bank of Australia (RBA) hiked rates by 25 bps to 4.35% and left the door open to further increases, but the USD strength is pushing the pair downwards.

In line with that, the daily chart highlights a neutral to the bearish technical outlook for the AUD/USD, as signs of bullish exhaustion become evident after last week’s rally. The Relative Strength Index (RSI) has a negative slope above its midline, indicating weakening buying pressure, while the Moving Average Convergence (MACD) lays out lower green bars. Furthermore, the pair is above the 20-day Simple Moving Average (SMA) but below the 100 and 200-day SMAs, suggesting that the bears are in control of the larger context while bulls are still resilient, holding some momentum in the shorter time frame.

Indicators on the four-hour chart turned somewhat flat after sharply declining during the Asian session, indicating that the pair may face a consolidation in the short term.

Supports: 0.6400, 0.6365 (20-day SMA), 0.6350.
Resistances: 0.6440, 0.6460, 0.6500 (100-day SMA).

 

AUD/USD Daily chart

 

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