USD to stay elevated at current levels in the near-term heading into US CPI and year-end – TDS

The US Dollar surged higher post Nonfarm Payrolls. Economists at TD Securities analyze Greenback’s outlook.

Looking for USD downside in the medium-term

Our high-frequency fair value model shows that the USD is somewhat cheap and that the move lower from October highs may have gone a bit too far, too fast.

We are wary of the USD staying elevated at current levels in the near-term heading into US CPI and year-end.

Beyond that, we continue to look for USD downside in the medium-term with steep Fed cuts in H2 24.