German Unemployment rate next: impact on EUR/USD

Fxstreet.com (Edinburgh) - The German jobless rate is due next, with market consensus expecting the unemployment rate to stay put at 6.9% for the month of June. The Unemployment Change is expected to shrink to 8K from 21K in the previous month.

The EUR/USD keeps today’s range around 1.3020/30, with market participants closely watching the events from the EcoFin meeting. Relevant levels to watch will be yesterday’s low at 1.5297 ahead of 1.5273 (low June 4th). On the upside, the initial barrier emerges at 1.5343 (low June 24th) ahead of the 55-day moving average at 1.5386.

“As for the short term, the EUR/USD remains under pressure, with the hourly chart showing momentum heading north below its midline RSI flat around 30, and the 20 SMA down to 1.3045, offering some dynamic resistance in case of recoveries”, noted Valeria Bedanarik, Currency Strategist at FXstreet.com.

USD/JPY testing resistance 97.91 / 98.00

We could see a small erosion through 98.80 towards the 100.00 zone, where she suspects that the rally will again struggle. She feels only an unexpected CLOSE above the 100.00 could neutralise their outlook and imply another test of the 103.74 May high
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Flash: Rudd returns as Australian PM - OCBC Bank

Emmanuel Ng of OCBC Bank notes that Australia saw the return of Kevin Rudd as Prime Minister after Julia Gillard lost the caucus vote, with markets now half expecting the elections to take place in August.
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