AUD/USD choppy around 0.91 post-China CPI

FXstreet.com (Barcelona) - The AUD/USD foreign exchange rate is last at 0.9108, off recent levels pre-data at 0.9130, with China CPI coming in higher than expeted at 2.7% y/y vs. 2.5%, and Australia NAB business confidence rising to 0 from previous -1.

AUD/USD critical week ahead

According to BK Asset Management managing director Kathy Lien, “this is a week when the A$ could break 90 cents or squeeze higher. If this week's event risks give speculators any reason to take profit or reconsider their short positions, the liquidation could drive the AUD/USD above 92 and most likely 93 cents.”

AUD/USD key technical levels

Immediate resistance to the upside for AUD/USD shows at mentioned NY session/weekly highs 0.9145, followed by Thursday's/Friday's highs at 0.9180/5, and July 03 highs/June 25 lows at 0.9191/95. To the downside, closest support lies at June 28 lows 0.9113, followed by June 30 lows at 0.9107, and Thursday's lows at 0.9072.

Inflation picks up in China

China Consumer Price Index (MoM) came at 0% in June vs -0.2% expected and -0.6% prior. Meanwhile, the yearly inflation reading for the same month of June stood at +2.7 vs 2.5% expected and 2.1% prior. With regards to the Chinese Producer Price Index (YoY) in June, the reading showed XXX vs -2.7% expected and -2.9% prior. According to Sean Callow, FX Strategist at Westpac, "inflation should have no implications for monetary policy."
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AUD/USD at day lows, Aus business conditions priced in

The AUD/USD is extending further down, currently printing session lows at 0.9082, after inflation came above expectation in China and the NAB survey showed business conditions deteriorating.
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