17 Mar 2015
US 5yr yields to drag 30yr yields lower – BAML
FXStreet (Barcelona) - The BofA-Merrill Lynch Team, views that US 5yr yields are turning bullish and poised to complete a 2wk H&S top.
Key Quotes
“At the margin, evidence is beginning to turn a bit more bullish for the US Treasury market. While we are neutral on 10s and 30s, watching the VERY short term ranges of 2.040%/2.185% and 2.747%/2.633%, respectively, the 5yr point is beginning to turn more bullish.”
“Indeed, a break of 1.526% would complete a 2wk Head and Shoulders Top, targeting 1.413% and potentially below to 1.355%.”
“With 5s30s set to flatten further, a 5yr yield break of 1.526% could prove to be the catalyst for the long end of the curve to re-price lower in yield.”
“This could also prove to be a positive for the US equity market.”
Key Quotes
“At the margin, evidence is beginning to turn a bit more bullish for the US Treasury market. While we are neutral on 10s and 30s, watching the VERY short term ranges of 2.040%/2.185% and 2.747%/2.633%, respectively, the 5yr point is beginning to turn more bullish.”
“Indeed, a break of 1.526% would complete a 2wk Head and Shoulders Top, targeting 1.413% and potentially below to 1.355%.”
“With 5s30s set to flatten further, a 5yr yield break of 1.526% could prove to be the catalyst for the long end of the curve to re-price lower in yield.”
“This could also prove to be a positive for the US equity market.”