26 Mar 2015
US GDP to slip this quarter – TDS
FXStreet (Barcelona) - The TD Securities Team comments on the US macro scenario and the USD, expecting the setback from bad weather to lead to the growth slip below trend in this quarter, and USD to consolidate near-term.
Key Quotes
“US economic growth momentum is showing some signs of weakening as unseasonably cold winter weather continues to temper activity. All told, we expect the pace of GDP growth to slip to a below-trend 1.5% Q/Q pace this quarter on account of the weather setback.”
“However, with underlying fundamentals remaining quite strong, we continue to expect the US economy to boast a strong 3.0% or better growth performance this year.”
“The Fed's tilt towards policy normalization leaves the USD sensitive to the undertone of US data reports - good and bad.”
“We think the USD looks, broadly, fairly valued at current (DXY) levels and it may consolidate near-term. But the USD will rise more obviously as Fed lift off nears.”
Key Quotes
“US economic growth momentum is showing some signs of weakening as unseasonably cold winter weather continues to temper activity. All told, we expect the pace of GDP growth to slip to a below-trend 1.5% Q/Q pace this quarter on account of the weather setback.”
“However, with underlying fundamentals remaining quite strong, we continue to expect the US economy to boast a strong 3.0% or better growth performance this year.”
“The Fed's tilt towards policy normalization leaves the USD sensitive to the undertone of US data reports - good and bad.”
“We think the USD looks, broadly, fairly valued at current (DXY) levels and it may consolidate near-term. But the USD will rise more obviously as Fed lift off nears.”