Cautious tone ahead of US Retail Sales – Westpac

FXStreet (Edinburgh) - Analysts at Westpac remain cautious when comes to bet on the upcoming Retail Sales in the US economy.

Key Quotes

Retail sales disappointed in June, falling 0.3%. This result was partly attributable to weaker auto sales; however, core retail sales (ex autos and gas) still fell 0.2% in the month”.

“In annual growth terms, momentum has steadily edged lower in recent months, with the June prints for total and core retail sales growth of 1.4%yr and 2.7%yr well below their respective peak growth rates, of 5.7%yr (Jan-15) and 5.1% (Nov-14)”.

“A continued improvement in the labour market; robust consumer confidence; and firming expectations around incomes all point to stronger discretionary spending”.

“Yet, as has been the case throughout this recovery, caution is likely appropriate. In July we anticipate a moderate rebound from recent weakness, with headline growth of 0.4%”.

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