12 Jan 2016
PBoC intervention - Nomura
FXStreet (Guatemala) - Analysts at Nomura explained that they believe the funding squeeze in CNH started when the authorities began to sell USD/CNH aggressively.
Key Quotes:
"This followed the offshore and onshore spot RMB intraday basis widening to as much as around +1800pips on 6 January 2016 – the widest level on record. In our view, the risk of intervention was high given rising depreciation expectations, risk of more capital flight, and broader negative financial market impacts."
"Indeed, the PBoC’s ability to create a funding squeeze and use of this as a tool to reduce long USD/CNH positions have become marginally easier now that CNH liquidity conditions have become less ‘loose’ thanks to falling CNH deposits and rising CNH loans in recent months."
Key Quotes:
"This followed the offshore and onshore spot RMB intraday basis widening to as much as around +1800pips on 6 January 2016 – the widest level on record. In our view, the risk of intervention was high given rising depreciation expectations, risk of more capital flight, and broader negative financial market impacts."
"Indeed, the PBoC’s ability to create a funding squeeze and use of this as a tool to reduce long USD/CNH positions have become marginally easier now that CNH liquidity conditions have become less ‘loose’ thanks to falling CNH deposits and rising CNH loans in recent months."