18 Jan 2016
EUR/USD gains appear capped around 1.1050 – TDS
FXStreet (Edinburgh) - In view of the research team at TD Securities, the pair’s upside could be capped around the mid-1.1000s.
Key Quotes
“We do not expect any changes to policy at this week’s ECB meeting and we generally expect Draghi to extend the themes he advanced in December’s minutes”.
“Lower oil prices present a risk to their inflation forecasts, but we think the Governing Council will be reluctant to deliver further easing unless the macro environment deteriorates markedly from here”.
“The EUR’s resilience has caught some market observers off balance in recent weeks, we suspect, with much of its support arising on the crosses”.
“Indeed, only the JPY has outperformed among G10 currencies YTD. We expect the EUR to advance further against the GBP with the 0.7665/85 region as the next attractor on the topside”.
“Against the USD, the nearterm outlook is more muddled. While we ultimately look for a move down toward 1.0250, we suspect more sideways chop lies ahead. That said, 1.1050 should cap gains”.
Key Quotes
“We do not expect any changes to policy at this week’s ECB meeting and we generally expect Draghi to extend the themes he advanced in December’s minutes”.
“Lower oil prices present a risk to their inflation forecasts, but we think the Governing Council will be reluctant to deliver further easing unless the macro environment deteriorates markedly from here”.
“The EUR’s resilience has caught some market observers off balance in recent weeks, we suspect, with much of its support arising on the crosses”.
“Indeed, only the JPY has outperformed among G10 currencies YTD. We expect the EUR to advance further against the GBP with the 0.7665/85 region as the next attractor on the topside”.
“Against the USD, the nearterm outlook is more muddled. While we ultimately look for a move down toward 1.0250, we suspect more sideways chop lies ahead. That said, 1.1050 should cap gains”.