Gold pops to 5-DMA as USD index falls

Fed’s status quo policy coupled with dovish “dot chart” and downward revision of GDP forecasts pushed the USD index lower and Gold higher.

Stuck at 5-DMA

Prices jumped from $1230, but appear stuck at 5-DMA hurdle at $1247.34 levels. Falling treasury yields and resulting drop in the USD helped the metal rally. Moreover, policymakers now see only two rate hikes this year as opposed to a possibility of four rate hikes seen in December.

The focus now is Yellen’s press conference. Markets would be interested to hear more from Yellen on possible timing of a rate hike this year.

Gold Technical Levels

The immediate hurdle is seen at above 1254.06 (10-DMA). A violation there would expose 1261.15 (previous day’s high). On the other hand, immediate support is seen at 1227 (23.6% of Dec low-Mar high), under which prices could test bid around 1200 levels.

EUR/USD rallies on dovish FOMC outcome

EUR/USD had been in a bearish drift leading into the meeting and announcements with the dollar index fractional elevated in a churning market, testing the 4hr 200 sma to the downside at 1.1071 prior to the release. However, EUR/USD shot up ahead of the meeting, perhaps on a leak, as the Fed left rates on hold and delivered a dovish outcome, in the fact.
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FOMC: very interesting developments - ING

James Knightley, analyst at ING Bank explained that the Federal Reserve has left monetary policy unchanged, but there are some very interesting developments.
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