22 Jul 2016
ECB’s SPF cut its GDP forecast for 2017
The latest ECB’s Survey of Professional Forecasters (SPF) for the third quarter showed the real GDP growth is now expected at 1.5% for the current year, 1.4% in 2017 and 1.6% in 2018 from previous data at 1.5%, 1.6% and 1.7%, respectively.
Regarding inflation and tracked by the broader HICP, forecasters now see consumer prices rising on an annualized 0.3% in 2016, 1.2% next year and 1.5% in 2018 vs. 0.3%, 1.3% and 1.6%, respectively from Q2 forecasts.
Additionally, the SPF now expects the unemployment rate to grind lower from 10.1% in 2016 to 9.7% in 2017 and 9.4% during 2018 from Q2’s forecasts at 10.1%, 9.7% and 9.3%, respectively.