9 Nov 2016
RBNZ cuts rates by 25 basis points (1.75%) as expected
As widely expected, RBNZ has decided to cut rates by 25 basis points at 1.75%, highlighting that their monetary policy will continue to be accommodative.
Key headlines (via Reuters):
- Official cash rate at 1.8 pct in March 2017
- Official cash rate at 1.7 pct in June 2017
- Official cash rate at 1.7 pct in Dec 2017
- TWI NZD at around 75.1 pct in dec 2017 (pvs 74.4 pct)
- Annual CPI 1.7 pct by December 2017 (pvs +1.6 pct)
- Monetary policy will continue to be accommodative
- Decline in the exchange rate is needed
- NZD is higher than sustainable
- Numerous uncertainties remain particularly in respect of international outlook
- Domestic growth expected to remain supported by strong population
- Assumptions indicate that policy settings will see growth strong enough to have inflation in middle of target range
- Annual inflation expected to rise from dec quarter
- House price inflation remains excessive
- Dairy auction positive and certainty remains about future
- Dairy price auctions positive but uncertainty remains around future outcomes
- Annual CPI inflation was weak in Sept quarter
- Domestic growth supported by strong population growth, construction, tourism and accommodative monetary policy
- RBNZ says high migration supporting labour supply growth, limiting wage pressure