IMF: USD real effective exchange rate overvalued by 10-20%

"The International Monetary Fund said that the U.S. dollar was overvalued by 10 percent to 20 percent, based on U.S. near-term economic fundamentals," Reuters reported on Friday. 

Key quotes (via Reuters):

  • Euro is broadly in line with eurozone fundamentals as a whole, ranging from undervaluation of 5 pct to overvaluation of 3 pct,
  • For Germany, euro real effective exchange rate is overvalued by 10-20 pct compared to German fundamentals
  • China's yuan is broadly in line with fundamentals, but current account surplus still too large
  • Japan's yen is broadly in line with fundamentals due to appreciation in 2016
  • British pound valuation is 0-15 pct above level consistent with fundamentals, uncertainty over Brexit is high
  • Mexican peso undervalued by 5-15 pct under scenario where protectionism risks don't fully materialize
  • South Korean won undervalued by 5-15 pct vs fundamentals, current account surplus among highest of economies assessed

NY Fed: GDP Nowcast stands at 1.9% for Q3 of 2017

"Today’s advance estimate of GDP growth for 2017:Q2 from the Commerce Department was 2.6%, higher than the latest New York Fed Staff Nowcast of 2.1%,"
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What has changed in EM - BBH

Marc Chandler, Global Head of Currency Strategy at Brown Brothers, shares his views on the emerging markets with the key quotes found below: "Indones
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