Dollar Index: Rising yields vs overbought readings

  • Rising yields favor further rally in the dollar index (DXY).
  • However, the daily chart shows oversold conditions.

The dollar index, which tracks the value of the greenback against majors, is flat-lined around 93.50 in Asia, even though the 10-year treasury yield hit fresh 7-year high of 3.13 percent.

Overbought conditions

The 14-day relative strength index shows overbought conditions and adds credence to bullish exhaustion as indicated by Wednesday's doji candle. So, a pullback cannot be ruled out.

That said, the dips will likely be short-lived as the short-term moving averages (5, 10) continue to rise in the USD-positive manner. Further, the 10-year yield looks set to test 3.5 percent in the near-term.

Also, the news is doing the rounds that China has offered Trump administration a $200 billion reduction in its annual trade surplus with the US. The easing US-China trade tensions also favor a further upside in the greenback. 

Dollar Index Technical Levels

A close above 93.63 (Wed's Doji candle high) would expose resistance at 94.00 (October high) and 94.22 (December high).

On the downside, a close below 10-day MA of 93.04 could yield consolidation and may allow a pullback to92.50 (Nov. 27 low) and 92.24 (May 14 low).

 

 

USD/CAD: Greenback bounces, Loonie swoons as NAFTA proves to be a tangled mess

The USD/CAD is the big mover of the Asia session for Friday, climbing to 1.2846 on NAFTA headlines in the overnight session. The pair is back into 1.2
Đọc thêm Previous

USD/JPY trades at 4-month high near 111.00, risk reversals retrace JPY call bias

The USD/JPY continues to rise, tracking the uptick in the US treasury yields. As of writing, the pair is trading at 110.95 - the highest level since
Đọc thêm Next