CNY under pressure on trade war – Danske Bank

Jens Pedersen, Senior Analyst at Danske Bank, noted the Chinese Yuan remains under further pressure on trade jitters.

Key Quotes

“The rising risk of a US-China trade war has put downward pressure on the CNY and we now see more CNY weakness ahead”.

“Yesterday, we revised our USD/CNY and EUR/CNY forecasts higher, targeting USD/CNY at 6.70 in 12M (previously 6.25) and EUR/CNY at 8.38 in 12M (previously 7.94) amid further easing by the People's Bank of China (PBoC) and outflows are set to pick up. We recommend that corporates with CNY receivables and assets in China hedge the currency risk via EUR/CNH FX forwards”.

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   •  The cross has failed to sustain above 200-hour SMA and now seems to have formed a bearish Head & Shoulders chart pattern on the 1-hourly chart.
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