USD/CAD jumps to five-month high, value of CAD puts (bearish bets) jumps

  • The USD/CAD jumped to 1.3117 - the highest since June 28.
  • The value of CAD put options hits one-month high, indicating rising demand for the bearish bets.  

The USD/CAD is currently trading at 1.3305, having clocked a five-month high of 1.3317 in the overnight trade. Notably, the currency pair is up 4 percent compared to the low of 1.2782 seen on Oct. 1.

The rally is likely associated with the 31 percent slide in WTI oil prices witnessed in the last 7 weeks. Further, Canada's heavy-oil benchmark - Western Canadian Select - fell to a record low of $13.46 last week, adding to the bearish pressure around the CAD.

More importantly, the sell-off in the Canadian dollar may not be over just yet, according to options market data.

The USD/CAD one-month 25 delta risk reversals (CAD1MRR) are currently trading in favor of CAD puts at 0.125 - the highest level since Oct. 22. Notably, the risk reversals have gone up from 0.05 to 0.125 in the last two days, which indicates the growing demand for the CAD puts (bearish bets).

CAD1MRR

USD/CAD

Overview:
    Last Price: 1.3307
    Daily change: 0.0 pips
    Daily change: 0.00%
    Daily Open: 1.3307
Trends:
    Daily SMA20: 1.3154
    Daily SMA50: 1.305
    Daily SMA100: 1.3069
    Daily SMA200: 1.2973
Levels:
    Daily High: 1.332
    Daily Low: 1.3156
    Weekly High: 1.3264
    Weekly Low: 1.3127
    Monthly High: 1.3172
    Monthly Low: 1.2783
    Daily Fibonacci 38.2%: 1.3257
    Daily Fibonacci 61.8%: 1.3218
    Daily Pivot Point S1: 1.3202
    Daily Pivot Point S2: 1.3097
    Daily Pivot Point S3: 1.3038
    Daily Pivot Point R1: 1.3366
    Daily Pivot Point R2: 1.3425
    Daily Pivot Point R3: 1.353

 

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