EUR/USD: Positive momentum to prevail – Danske Bank

Jakob Christensen, chief analyst at Danske Bank, points out that the ECB turned its back on the dovishly priced market and the market reacted by appreciating the EUR and lowering inflation expectations.

Key Quotes

“As for EUR/USD, it is now faced with a Fed ready to cut rates and an ECB who has only started discussing easing. That should keep positive EUR/USD momentum going.”

“We forecast EUR/USD at 1.15 in 6M. A sound US jobs report could temporarily weigh on EUR/USD though, but it should not derail the outlook for a summer Fed rate cut.”

AUD/USD flat-lined below 0.70 handle in the pre-NFP lull

• The USD remained depressed amid firming Fed rate cut expectations. • Fears of a further escalation in the US-China trade tensions capping gains. •
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US Dollar Index Technical Analysis: Still constructive above the 200-day SMA near 96.50

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