Forex Today: Hopes for a small trade deal boosts mood, EUR/USD digests ECB whipsaw, US consumer in focus

Here is what you need to know on Friday, September 13:

  • US President Donald Trump has said that he prefers a full deal with China rather than an interim deal. Nevertheless, the idea of a US-Sino accord that would include lower tariffs is underpinning markets. US yields and USD/JPY are on the rise.
  • EUR/USD is holding up its ground above 1.1050 after a whipsaw on Thursday. The European Central Bank cut interest rates by 10 basis points and announced Quantitative Easing worth €20 billion per month from November. President Mario Draghi called governments to do more. 
  • Brexit: House of Commons Speaker John Bercow has warned prime minister Boris Johnson that ignoring the law avoiding a hard Brexit is akin to robbing a bank. In the meantime, the European Union is set to grant the UK an extension according to a leaked document – contradicting tough talk from several leaders. The Times reported that the Northern Irish DUP party may be ready to cede ground on specific regulation for the province, opening the door to a compromise. The DUP denied it.
  • The US consumer is in the limelight now, with retail sales for August and consumer sentiment for September. 
  • Cryptocurrencies have consolidated their minimal gains while gold is struggling around $1,500.
     

China: Limited prospects of sustained bounce in Industrial Production – TD Securities

TD Securities analysts point out that China’s industrial production has slowed sharply, hitting a multi-year low of 4.8% y/y in July as the manufactur
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FX option expiries for Sept 13 NY cut

FX option expiries for Sept 13 NY cut at 10:00 Eastern Time, via DTCC, can be found below. - EUR/USD: EUR amounts 1.0975 550m 1.1000 2.5bn 1.1050 695m
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