USD/IDR technical analysis: 100-day EMA caps immediate upside

  • USD/IDR takes the bids to seven-day high after breaking six-week-old trend-line.
  • The pair needs to clear 100-day EMA to aim for 50% Fibonacci Retracement, 200-day EMA.

Despite breaking six-week-old falling trend-line, USD/IDR trades below key resistances as it takes the rounds to 14,175 on early Tuesday.

The quote presently confronts 100-day exponential moving average (EMA) near 14,180, a sustained break of which could escalate the run-up towards 50% Fibonacci retracement of May-June declines, at 14,205, followed by 200-day EMA level of 14,215.

Should prices manage to rise past-14,215, 61.8% Fibonacci retracement level of 14,313 and multiple highs surrounding 14,350/60 will be on buyers’ radar.

Meanwhile, a downside break below resistance-turned-support, at 14,145 will trigger fresh pullback towards 38.2% Fibonacci retracement of 14,100 and then to 14,000 round-figure.

During the pair’s south-run past14,000, monthly bottom near 13,880 and June month downtick close to 13,750 become the key to watch.

USD/IDR daily chart

Trend: pullback expected

 

When are the RBA minutes and how might they affect AUD/USD?

The Reserve Bank of Australia (RBA) is up for releasing a minute statement of its early-September monetary policy meeting at 01:30 GMT on Tuesday.
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