GBP/USD technical analysis: Choppy between 1.2385/80, 200-day EMA

  • GBP/USD stays below 50% Fibonacci retracement of May-September downpour.
  • 200-day EMA offers additional upside barriers while 1.2385/80 limits near-term downside.

With another pullback from 50% Fibonacci retracement, GBP/USD drops to 1.2470 ahead of the UK open on Monday.

The pair now aims to revisit 38.2% Fibonacci retracement level of 1.2425. Though, 1.2385/80 horizontal-line comprising July 17 low and September 09 high could restrict further declines.

Should there be additional downside below 1.2380, August month high near 1.2310 and 23.6% Fibonacci retracement level near 1 .2250 could please bears.

Meanwhile, 50% Fibonacci retracement level of 1.2570 can act as an immediate resistance, a break of which could escalate the recovery towards 200-day exponential moving average (EMA) around 1.2660 now.

It should, however, be noted that pair’s successful run-up beyond 1.2660 enables buyers to target June month high nearing 1.2785, adjacent to late-May top close to 1.2815.

GBP/USD daily chart

Trend: sideways

 

FX option expiries for Sept 23 NY cut

FX option expiries for Sept 23 NY cut at 10:00 Eastern Time, via DTCC, can be found below. - EUR/USD: EUR amounts 1.1100 1.0bn - GBP/USD: GBP amounts
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