NZD/CHF Price Analysis: Bears stepping in to test bull's commitments
- NZD/CHF bears stepping in as the bullish impulse wears thin.
- Bears seeking a break of hourly support and a target of old resistance structure.
As per this week's, The Watch List: Gold, USD/JPY, AUD/USD, EUR crosses and many more, the price has indeed decelerated and is starting to get interesting, moving higher up on the priority of the watchlist.
Prior analysis
NZD/CHF, day trading
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The price has formed a W-formation and would now be expected to retrace to a 38.2% Fibo confluence with prior highs.
However, the hourly chart remains in a bullish territory but can be monitored for bearish structure for an optimal entry point to short.
Live market analysis, the hourly chart
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As illustrated, the price has stalled on the upside, following a slight extension mind you, but that only gives more earnings potential from a trading perspective.
The thesis still remains that the price will revisit the prior structure of the W-formation which now coincides with a 50% mean reversion instead of only a 38.2% Fibonacci retracement.
However, conditions are not quite ripe for an entry and the bears have some work to do in testing the bull's commitments at support.
A break and restest of the structure with MACD below zero and the price below the 21-SMA will offer the favourable conditions for shorting the market.